Medicine Hat Tigers
Offense
Ryan Chyzowski(18)(.72/.23) James Hamblin(19)(.91/.68/.06) Ryan Jevne(20)(.68/.39/.15)
Hayden Ostir(19)(.63/.37/.06)Elijah Brown(18)(.6/.2) Josh Williams(17)(.43)
Tyler Preziuso(19)(.5/.31/.17)Gary Haden(19)(.6/.25) Bryan Lockner(18)(.38/.21)
Baxter Anderson(18)(.11)Henry Rybinski(17)(.19)Dawson Heathcote(18)(.19)
*
Vasily Podkolzin(17)
Jaeger White (20)
Mason Shaw(20)
Notes:
Not including Mason Shaw I count 8 players capable of hitting close to the .8PPG mark or above (Hayden Ostir, James Hamblin, Ryan Jevne, Elijah Brown, Ryan Chyzowski, Gary Haden, Josh Williams).
It gives the Tigers very solid depth and injury protection up front. The Tigers have a scoring by committee approach.
If Highly touted prospect Vasili Podkolzin comes over, and Mason Shaw is sent back their offense could be the most dangerous in the East division. Unfortunately, the fates of those 2 players are out of the Tigers hands.
Vasili Podkolzin is a potential Top 10 pick in next years NHL draft. His Russian rights were recently traded. It is largely unknown if he will come over to Medicine Hat.
Mason Shaw
Mason Shaw - Minnesota has 26 signed forwards at the pro level (plus 1 19y r old). There are 24 Pro spots in the NHL+AHL. 1 of those 26 signed is ECHL caliber and 1 of those is a rare enforcer. If Minnesota is completely healthy it means 2 players not getting ice-time or sent to the ECHL.
Being completely healthy is a rarity and some teams keep an extra player or two while some AHL teams sign their own players independent of their affiliation to the NHL.
If we look at Minnesota players most likely to get cut (20yr olds). 1 of them came from the NCAA and will be playing AHL/NHL. The other comes from Russia.
Shaw is right on the cusp of staying there. I think Minnesota will largely see how training camp plays out and Shaw can play his way on to the team. If their organization as a whole remains healthy, there could be a chance he gets sent back in late October/November.
There was recently a
news article that suggests Minnesota has him pegged for the AHL next season. That article goes along with my thoughts that he will be given a shot to make the AHL Club. The Tigers should expect life without him and if he gets sent back it will be a big bonus.
Defence
Dylan MacPherson(20)(.33/.18) David Quenneville(20)(1.1/1.2/.86/.3)
Cole Clayton(18)(.13) Daniel Baker(17)(NA)
Joel Craven(18)(.21) Trevor Longo(18) (.18)
Eric Van Impe(17((N/A)
Dalton Gally(20)
Linus Nassen(20)
Notes:
My line of thinking is that they will keep 2 veteran defenceman to play 1st line minutes and have their abundance of depth fight it out for the 2nd and 3rd pairing. The recent trade of Jaeger White seems to re-affirm that.
They will largely have to wait and see on what happens with David Quenneville. They have a 20yr old Import in Linus Nassen that could very well be sent back from Florida.
If that happens it would pose a logjam of 20's and likely a move being made.
David Quenneville
The Islanders have 8 signed guys in their AHL system. There just isn't room for him up there. He would be playing in the ECHL getting called up for injury replacements. I don't know if the Islanders would choose that path for him or not, it could be possible, but it seems like a poor idea to let a contract sit in the ECHL, when it could slide for another year in junior.
Linus Nassen, and Dylan Macpherson are the other 2 OA's.
Outside their top Line, the Tigers defence has a strong core of youth coming. Last season they all played fewer minutes on the 3rd line/healthy scratched and it was really only Cole Clayton that put up a big respectable and consistent step forward in his game.
Joel Craven and Daniel Baker look like they will take big steps, but they don't have that consistency yet that we saw from Clayton last season. That leaves an opening on their 2nd pairing. (Baker/Craven)
The rest Trevor Longo, Eric Van Impe, Ryden Fedyck, Ryan Watson, among other prospects will fight it out for 3rd pairing and depth minutes.
If I was judging this defence like they were on a team I was unfamiliar with, I'd say they have a strong top line and developing depth. Therefore they should be average to a slight notch above average because of their depth.
Imports
Mads Sogaard G (18)
Vasili Podkolzin F (17) - Top prospect for the 2019 draft
Linus Nassen(20)
Goalies
Jordan Hollett(19)
Mads Sogaard(18)
Gavin Bjorklund (16) 1st round pick in 2017
Kaeden Lane(17)
This is an interesting scenario. Hollett looks to be the starter but there may be up to 3 that are capable for the backup role. The Tigers selection of an Import goaltender looks to be protection for next year having a veteran goalie in case Hollett moves to the pros as a 20. It seems likely that he is in the plans of being the backup goaltender.
Nonetheless goaltending looks to be a strong point.
Other OA& Player Notes
Dalton Gally(20)
Linus Nassen
(20) Import
Jaegar White(20)(.5)
Drafting Outlook
| 2013 | 20 | 1,2,2,3,4 | 10th |
| 2014 | 19 | 1,2,3,3,4, | 17tth |
| 2015 | 18 | 1,2,3,4,5,5 | 17th |
| 2016 | 17 | 1,2,2,3,3,4,5 | 5th |
| 2017 | 16 | 1,2,3,4,5 | 2nd Last |
| 2018 | 15 | 1,2,3,3,4,5 | 11th |
Notes:
Suggests they should be below average with late selections, with a strong 17yr old age group.
However, they have made significant trades boost their 18yr old age group. It would make sense that they are a year off from peaking.
Last Season
.556 Winning Percentage
Offensive Strength Index
262-241 (Without Shaw, Podkolzin, includes Quenneville)
Prognosis
Strong goaltending and strong developing depth. Suggests the Tigers should be on the cusp of making a lot of noise. Looking at the rest of the division I think they have potential to compete for the Division crown with Lethbridge.
Should they get Shaw and Podkolzin into their lineup, they might leapfrog into the favorite role.
If those 2 don't return I'd say they are capable of winning a Home ice Playoff Spot and get 2-3 rounds into the playoffs.
Next Up
Moose Jaw Warriors August 16th.